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BoJ Tankan - March large manufacturers index at plus 23, below forecast


Published :
Mon, 02 Apr 2007 01:22
By : Agencies
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TOKYO (XFN-ASIA) - Business sentiment at Japan's large manufacturers dropped for the first time in four quarters, with the closely-watched diffusion index for the sector falling to plus 23 in March from 25 in December, according to the Bank of Japan's quarterly survey of business sentiment or Tankan.

The headline number was lower than the consensus forecast, as economists had estimated that the headline sentiment index for large manufacturers would come in at an average of plus 24, with

forecasts ranging from plus 20 to plus 25.

In the December Tankan survey, large manufacturers had forecast the diffusion index would come in at plus 22 in March.

The Bank of Japan recently implemented a review of the number of companies that it surveys to reflect more accurately developments in the corporate sector, adding 1,387 firms and deleting 150 companies.

While the first revision in three years did not affect much of the results for December, minor changes

were seen in such areas as forecasts for capital investments.

The firms surveyed assume the US dollar will average 115.01 yen in the year to March 2007, compared to the previous forecast of 114.06 in December, while they see the average hedging cost at

114.32 yen for the year to March 2008.

The BoJ issued the following results of its business confidence index in the March survey, compared with index levels in the December poll:

Large manufacturers - plus 23 vs plus 25

Large non-manufacturers - plus 22 vs plus 22

Mid-sized manufacturers - plus 16 vs plus 21

Mid-sized non-manufacturers - plus 5 vs plus 7

Small-sized manufacturers - plus 8 vs plus 12

Small-sized non-manufacturers - minus 6 vs minus 4

The BoJ also issued the following forecasts for June:

Large manufacturers - plus 20

Large non-manufacturers - plus 23

Mid-sized manufacturers - plus 12

Mid-sized non-manufacturers - plus 4

Small-sized manufacturers - plus 7

Small-sized non-manufacturers - minus 10

yasuhiko.seki@xfn.com

ys/mas




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