Bitcoin Price Prediction for May 2025, 2nd Week

As we head into the second week of May 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to captivate investors and traders alike, with its price action reflecting both its signature volatility and growing institutional embrace.

After a blistering rally in 2024 that saw BTC shatter the $100,000 barrier, the question on everyone’s mind is: what’s next for the world’s largest cryptocurrency? Drawing on technical analysis, market sentiment, and recent developments, here’s a professional take on where Bitcoin’s price might be headed this week.

Current Market Snapshot

As of May 1, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $95,754.93, according to data from CryptoNews, with a market cap hovering near $1.9 trillion. The past month has been a rollercoaster, with BTC recording 18 out of 30 green days and a modest 5.62% price volatility, per CoinCodex. The Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 60 (Greed), signaling cautious optimism among investors. Technical indicators, such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggest a bullish trend, though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 68.11 indicates the market is nearing overbought territory, which could foreshadow a short-term pullback.

Recent posts on X reflect a similar sentiment. Traders like @JosipMijic98 point to BTC flipping $94,000 as a key support level, with targets near $95,758, while @DieguitoCharts anticipates a push toward $96,000–$97,000 before a potential rejection to $91,000. These insights align with the broader market’s bullish bias, tempered by warnings of consolidation or corrections.

Key Drivers for This Week

Several factors are likely to shape Bitcoin’s price trajectory over the next seven days:

1. Institutional Adoption and ETF Inflows: The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2024 has been a game-changer, with net inflows exceeding $35 billion, according to Farside Investors. Analysts at Standard Chartered and Bitwise expect these inflows to continue at a similar pace in 2025, providing a steady demand tailwind. BlackRock’s ETF, now the fastest-growing in history, has simplified access for institutional and retail investors alike, potentially pushing BTC toward $97,000 if volumes sustain, as noted in CoinDCX’s analysis.
2. Macroeconomic Environment: Global liquidity conditions are becoming increasingly favorable for risk assets like Bitcoin. With China’s bond market rallying and U.S. Treasury yields under scrutiny, inflationary pressures could drive investors toward BTC as a hedge, as highlighted by Forbes. However, the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to scale back rate cuts in 2025 could keep Treasury yields elevated, potentially diverting capital from cryptocurrencies. If the Fed signals further tightening, BTC could face downward pressure, possibly testing the $90,000–$92,000 range.
3. Post-Halving Momentum: The April 2024 halving, which reduced miner rewards to 3.125 BTC, continues to create a supply-demand imbalance. Historically, Bitcoin rallies in the 12–18 months following a halving, and 2025 is expected to follow suit. CoinGape’s analysts project BTC stabilizing around $93,622 this week, with upside potential to $107,196.77 if bullish momentum holds.
4. Regulatory Outlook: The Trump administration’s crypto-friendly stance, reinforced by the appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC head, has bolstered market confidence. However, any delays in implementing pro-crypto policies could lead to short-term disappointment, as warned by 21Shares’ Adrian Fritz. This makes regulatory headlines a critical watchpoint for traders.

Technical Analysis: What the Charts Say

Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a bullish breakout, with a cup-and-handle pattern confirming a trend reversal from March’s lows, per CoinDCX. The price has reclaimed the 100-day EMA and is approaching the 200-day EMA around $94,200—a key level for bullish continuation. The RSI at 67.9 is close to overbought, suggesting a possible cooling-off period.

On the weekly timeframe, the 50-day moving average remains below the price, acting as potential support near $85,637, while the 200-day moving average is trending upward, reinforcing the long-term bullish outlook.

For this week, CoinCodex forecasts BTC trading between $95,899 and $123,691, with a potential peak at $123,691 by May 5 if bullish momentum accelerates. However, a rejection at $96,000–$97,000, as suggested by @DieguitoCharts on X, could see BTC retest $91,000 or even $90,000. Key support levels to watch include $93,560 (noted by @Smb_Vc) and $90,000, while resistance lies at $97,000 and the psychological $100,000 mark.

Price Prediction for the Week

Based on the current data and market dynamics, here’s a reasoned prediction for Bitcoin’s price this week:

• Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above $93,560 and breaks through $97,000 with strong volume, we could see a push toward $100,000–$103,000, especially if ETF inflows and positive regulatory news align. This aligns with Coinpedia’s short-term target of $97,000 and CoinGape’s maximum potential of $107,196.77.
• Base Case: More likely, BTC will consolidate between $94,000 and $97,500, as suggested by CoinDCX and InvestingHaven. This range reflects cautious accumulation after recent gains, with traders eyeing the $100,000 milestone but awaiting stronger catalysts.
• Bearish Scenario: Should macroeconomic headwinds intensify or regulatory delays spark profit-taking, BTC could dip to $90,000–$91,000, with a worst-case scenario testing $86,000, as flagged by @Smb_Vc. However, robust institutional support and dip-buying activity should limit downside risks.

Risks to Watch

While the outlook leans bullish, several risks could derail Bitcoin’s rally. A stronger-than-expected Fed tightening could shift capital to safer assets, as noted by Investopedia. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, might also dampen risk appetite, per 21Shares. Additionally, competition from altcoins like Ethereum and Solana, which offer more utility, could divert capital from BTC, as highlighted by Benzinga. Finally, technical indicators like the RSI suggest a potential pullback if overbought conditions persist.

Bitcoin Price Prediction Table for May

The following table provides a detailed price prediction for Bitcoin (BTC) for the week of May 5 to May 11, 2025. The predictions are based on technical analysis, market sentiment, and insights from recent data, including sources like CoinCodex, CoinGape, and posts on X. Each day includes projected low and high prices, key support and resistance levels, and notes on potential market drivers. All prices are approximate and reflect the bullish-to-consolidative outlook outlined in prior analysis, with BTC currently trading around $95,754.93 as of May 1, 2025.

Date	Day	Predicted Low	Predicted High	Support Levels	Resistance Levels	Notes
May 5, 2025	Monday	$94,200	$97,500	$93,560, $90,000	$97,000, $100,000	Bullish momentum from ETF inflows; watch for breakout above $97,000.
May 6, 2025	Tuesday	$94,000	$98,000	$93,560, $91,000	$97,500, $100,000	Potential push to $98,000 if volume sustains; RSI may signal overbought.
May 7, 2025	Wednesday	$93,500	$97,800	$93,560, $90,000	$97,500, $100,000	Consolidation likely; Fed comments could impact risk appetite.
May 8, 2025	Thursday	$92,500	$97,200	$91,000, $90,000	$97,000, $100,000	Possible dip to $92,500 if regulatory news disappoints; dip-buying expected.
May 9, 2025	Friday	$92,000	$97,500	$91,000, $90,000	$97,500, $100,000	Profit-taking may test support; strong institutional demand limits downside.
May 10, 2025	Saturday	$92,500	$98,500	$91,000, $90,000	$97,500, $100,000	Weekend volatility possible; $98,500 if bullish sentiment persists.
May 11, 2025	Sunday	$93,000	$99,000	$93,560, $91,000	$97,500, $100,000	Potential push toward $99,000; $100,000 psychological resistance looms.

Key Observations

• Support Levels: $93,560 (noted by X posts as a critical level) and $90,000 are robust support zones, reinforced by institutional buying and the 50-day moving average. A drop below $90,000 would require significant bearish catalysts, such as Fed tightening or geopolitical shocks.
• Resistance Levels: $97,500 is the immediate hurdle, with $100,000 acting as a major psychological and technical barrier. A breakout above $97,500 could trigger a rally toward $100,000–$103,000, as suggested by CoinGape.
• Price Range: The week is expected to see BTC fluctuate between $92,000 and $99,000, with a base case of consolidation around $94,000–$97,500, per CoinDCX’s analysis.
• Market Drivers: ETF inflows, regulatory developments (e.g., Trump administration’s crypto policies), and macroeconomic factors (e.g., Treasury yields, China’s bond rally) will heavily influence price action. The RSI nearing overbought levels (currently 68.11) suggests a potential pullback mid-week.

  

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s price action this week will likely be a tug-of-war between bullish catalysts—ETF inflows, halving-driven scarcity, and regulatory optimism—and potential headwinds from macroeconomic shifts and technical resistance. While a breakout above $97,000 could reignite dreams of a $100,000-plus BTC, consolidation or a modest pullback to $90,000–$93,000 remains equally plausible. Traders should monitor key levels ($93,560 support, $97,000 resistance), regulatory headlines, and global liquidity trends closely.

As always, Bitcoin’s volatility demands caution. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and conduct thorough research before making any moves. With the crypto market entering a new growth cycle, as predicted by Changelly, this week could set the tone for BTC’s next leg up—or a brief pause before the bulls charge again.